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The Local Sweden · 1 tim sedan Utrikes

'I was shocked': Swedish politians react as exit polls show lead for left bloc

The exit polls for Sweden's election are in – the left-wing parties are in the lead, the Liberals look like they've scraped their way into parliament and the Moderates look set to take more seats than the Sweden Democrats. So how have the parties reacted?

SVT's exit polls have been released, and the results have come as a surprise to many.

The polls suggest the Social Democrats are still the largest party in parliament by a long way, but their projected result of 28.4 percent, is lower than their score in the last election in 2022 and lower than the 35 percent they were polling just a few months ago.

The Local's Paul O'Mahony, who was at the Social Democrat election night event when the exit poll was announced, said the initial excitement evaporated into "near-total silence" when polls were first revealed.

This was followed by a chant of "no fascists on our streets" when the broadcaster announced that the polls showed the Moderates were set to be the country's second-largest party, knocking the Sweden Democrats back into third place.

The polls suggested the Sweden Democrats would see the largest drop of any party, with their share of the vote dropping 3.3 percent from the 2022 figures to 17.2 percent. The Moderates also saw a drop of 1 percent on 2022, although their total share of the vote is higher than the Sweden Democrats at 18.1 percent, according to the polls.

"I was shocked as I was expecting that the Sweden Democrats would keep their position as the second-largest party in Sweden, and I think we're going to end up there," Sweden Democrat MP Björn Söder told the TT newswire after the exit poll.

But how did the Social Democrats take the news that their bloc might have seized power?

"The mood is mostly muted among the older contingent at the Social Democrats' event," O'Mahony said. "Many will recall that the exit polls four years ago also put them in the lead, albeit with a tighter margin. But the kids [the party's youth wing] are convinced the Tidö coalition is on the way out".

The ruling coalition is made up of the Moderates, Christian Democrats and the Liberals in government, with the support of the Sweden Democrats. The current opposition, who look like they could become the ruling bloc, is made up of the Social Democrats, Centre Party, Green Party and Left Party.

At the Moderates' election night event, The Local's James Savage reported that top party names were wary to believe the polls just yet.

"Top Moderates I'm speaking to are pointing out how wrong the exit poll was in 2022," he said.

"'It was way out', said one highly placed source. So they’re not taking the bad news (that they seem to be heading for opposition) or the good news (that they’re the second largest party, ahead of the Sweden Democrats) to heart yet."

One of the biggest stories of the night looked to be the fact that the Liberals, who have been polling under the 4 percent threshold needed to get into parliament for much of the last four years, will not only scrape their way into parliament but score 5.4 percent of the vote, according to the exit poll.

According to the TT newswire, Liberals at their election party were cheering and jumping with joy when their results were announced.

"You can't be a member of this party if you have heart problems," their party secretary Fredrik Brange joked during a speech after the poll were announced.

Liberal Party MP Martin Melin told TT that he believes the party will stay in parliament.

Despite the Liberals making a surprise comeback just days before the election, it's not clear whether the four ruling Tidö parties will be able to keep power.

The Christian Democrats also had reason to celebrate as their share of the votes seems to have increased compared with 2022, with a 0.8 percent increase to 7.5 percent.

"Every time we've been in government we haven't seen our share of the vote increase, so if these results are correct then this is a really good result for us," their party secretary Liza-Maria Norlin told TT.

According to the exit polls, the left-wing bloc – also referred to in the Swedish media as the red-green bloc, have a majority with 51.3 percent to the centre-right's 46.8 percent..

"It's too early to say anything about that yet," Karin Enström, party secretary of the right-wing Moderates, told TT. "We know there are still two sides against each other and I think it will still be very hard for the parties on the left to form a government if these results are correct."

Left Party leader Nooshi Dadgostar said earlier in the night that she is aiming for her party to have government ministers, while the Centre Party, also in the left-wing bloc, is against this. Social Democrat leader Magdalena Andersson will have to manage both parties if her majority is to hold.

The Centre Party and the Left Party both saw their predicted vote share increase.

Hannes Hervieu, party secretary for the Centre Party, told TT that his party had had a "very nice election". His party scored 7.5 percent of the vote.

"We focused on jobs and a government across the centre. There are a lot of signs that Tidö has fallen and that's good for Sweden, I think," he added.

The Left Party's share of the vote, according to the exit polls, has gone up from 6.7 percent to 8 percent.

"We don't want to celebrate too soon but I am really happy that it looks like we can say goodbye to Tidö," the party's economic spokesperson Ida Gabrielsson told SVT.

"There will be four parties negotiating to get rid of Tidö," she added.

If the exit polls are correct then the Green Party, in the left bloc, has had its best election ever, scoring 7.4 percent of the vote.

"It looks like the Swedish people have sent a message and they're tired of Tidö," Alice Bah Kuhnke, one of the party's top names, told TT.

Here are the SVT exit polls (change from 2022 result in brackets):

Social Democrats: 28.4 percent (-1.9)

Moderates: 18.1 percent (-1)

Sweden Democrats: 17.2 percent (-3.3)

Left Party: 8.0 (+1.3)

Centre Party: 7.5 percent (+0.8)

Green Party: 7.4 percent (+2.4)

Christian Democrats: 6.1 percent (+0.8)

Liberals: 5.4 percent (+0.8)

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